THERE has been lots of talk about the draw for tomorrow’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe. Feelings during the week seemed to range from a low draw being an advantage to a high draw being a disaster. But it may be the case that neither is correct.

An analysis of the last 22 runnings of the Prix du Jockey Club – run, like the Arc tomorrow for the first time – at Chantilly makes for interesting reading.