3:05 Sunday ParisLongchamp Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) 1m 4f

The ‘Arc’ has long been shaping up into the European race of the season, and an exceptional field will line up on what should be testing ground at ParisLongchamp tomorrow.

The ground raises questions for a few, notably Adayar (stall 11), who was beaten in the Lingfield Derby Trial on soft before winning well on drying ground at Epsom, while it was quick when he beat Mishriff and Love in the King George. He did win his maiden in the mud, although it’s debatable what that’s worth at this level of competition, and his draw is problematic.

Adayar’s stablemate Hurricane Lane is good enough to win, but the bottom line is that a slog at Doncaster simply isn’t an ideal prep for this very different test, and Hurricane Lane did not have an easy race in the Leger, contrary to some opinions. I rate both horses highly, but am passing them over.

Snowfall also goes on the reject pile after her defeat in the Vermeille. She has been able to outclass modest middle-distance fillies this season, and while the margins of her wins are impressive, she will have to battle to hold a good pitch from her awkward middle draw, and may be found wanting.

In terms of the draw, low is clearly best, which sees Tarnawa a logical favourite, but high is often better than middle. Dalakhani, Sakhee, Treve and Golden Horn have all overcome stalls 14 or 15 to win in the past 25 years, while Sea Of Class should have in 2018.

That augurs well for the chances of Chrono Genesis (drawn 14), whose sire won this race in 2004, and who is fully effective on soft ground. She is a tremendously tough mare who has strung together a lengthy series of top-class efforts over 10 furlongs and a mile and a half.

She is easy to place in a race, and finds plenty for pressure, so is sure to run her race. At a double-figure price, she can finally give Japan the Arc win they deserve.